Minnesota Wild

Brock Faber Blocked Shots

Stats updated: May 14, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Brock Faber has gone over 1.5 BLKD in 7 of his last 10 decided games (70%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: Minnesota
Experience: 4 seasons

Line

PrizePicksBlocked Shots · season avg 1.9 BLKD · our line

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OutBrock Faber isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Skull Surgery
Est. return:: Nov 10, 2026

Faber's return to practice, after having been limited to solo skates previously, doesn't guarantee he will be in the lineup to face San Jose on Friday, but it's certainly a step in the right direction for the blueliner. Whenever the 24-year-old Minnesota native is given the all-clear, he should be back on the Wild's top pairing in addition to linking up with the No. 1 power-play unit.

Verdict

vs 1.5 BLKDBlocked Shots

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 62% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)66supports it

Projection vs line62supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup100supports it

Projection

2.3 BLKD(×1.09 context)

L5 2.2 · L10 2.3 · med 2.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 1.0 · ceil 3.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

80%over

4 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%

Last 1010 games

70%over

7 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%

Last 2017 games

53%over

9 over · 8 under

Medium confidence95% CI 31%–74%

Season17 games

53%over

9 over · 8 under

Medium confidence95% CI 31%–74%

Alternate lines — Blocked Shots (BLKD)

BLKD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate BLKD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	94%	16/17
1.5Current	53%	9/17
	29%	5/17
	12%	2/17
	0%	0/17

Last 17 games — BLKD per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 BLKD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home70%7/10Low

Away29%2/7Low

Days since last game

1 day75%3/4Low

3+ days50%6/12Low

Next matchup — vs TB

Nov 8, 2026

1stof 32 in BLKD allowed to defensemen

TB allows 1.8 BLKD per game to defensemen (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 52 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 10 games, Brock Faber has gone over 1.5 BLKD 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 53% across the full season. TB has been a favorable matchup for defensemen this season, allowing the 1st-most BLKD of 32 teams (1.8 per game). His game-to-game BLKD have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 53%.