Dallas Stars

Colin Blackwell Goals

Stats updated: Apr 30, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Colin Blackwell has gone over 0.5 G in 0 of his last 10 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: Harvard
Experience: 8 seasons

Line

PrizePicksGoals · season avg 0.1 G · our line

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OutColin Blackwell isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Lower Body
Est. return:: Oct 2, 2026

Blackwell could still return for an upcoming preseason contest, but his focus will be on the Opening Night clash with St. Louis on Oct. 2. In 70 regular-season games last year, the 33-year-old center notched four goals and 11 helpers. As such, he is unlikely to have enough fantasy value in most formats.

Verdict

vs 0.5 GGoals

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 96% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup100supports it

Projection

0.0 G(×1.02 context)

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 1010 games

0%over

0 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–28%

Last 2020 games

5%over

1 over · 19 under

High confidence95% CI 1%–24%

Season36 games

6%over

2 over · 34 under

High confidence95% CI 2%–18%

Alternate lines — Goals (G)

G over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate G line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	6%	2/36
	0%	0/36
	0%	0/36
	0%	0/36

Last 20 games — G per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 G by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/19High

Away12%2/17Medium

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)0%0/4Low

1 day0%0/7Medium

2 days0%0/4Low

3+ days11%2/19Medium

Next matchup — vs STL

Sep 22, 2026

28thof 32 in G allowed to forwards

STL allows 0.2 G per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 494 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Colin Blackwell has gone over 0.5 G 0 of 10 decided times (0%) — versus 6% across the full season. STL has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 28th-most G of 32 teams (0.2 per game). His game-to-game G have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 6%.