Pittsburgh Penguins

Elmer Soderblom Assists

Stats updated: Oct 24, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Elmer Soderblom has gone over 0.5 AST in 4 of his last 10 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksAssists · season avg 0.4 AST · our line

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OutElmer Soderblom isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Upper Body
Est. return:: Nov 14, 2026

Pittsburgh moved Soderblom to injured reserve Wednesday, and he has already missed the last two games. It's unclear when he will be ready to return to the lineup. Soderblom has contributed one assist, five shots on net, four blocked shots and 15 hits in six appearances this season.

Verdict

vs 0.5 ASTAssists

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 65% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)90supports it

Projection vs line65supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup0argues against it

Projection

0.4 AST(×1.08 context)

L5 0.2 · L10 0.4 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 1010 games

40%over

4 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%

Last 2011 games

36%over

4 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 15%–65%

Season11 games

36%over

4 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 15%–65%

Alternate lines — Assists (AST)

AST over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate AST line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	36%	4/11
	0%	0/11
	0%	0/11
	0%	0/11

Last 11 games — AST per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 AST by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%4/4Low

Away0%0/7Medium

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low

1 day100%1/1Low

2 days0%0/1Low

3+ days33%2/6Low

With a teammate out

How this AST line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Ville Koivunen out · Not Specified Lower Body Not Specified

Without (8g)

0.4 AST

38% over 0.5

With (3g)

0.3 AST

33% over 0.5

Next matchup — @ ANA

Nov 9, 2026

6thof 32 in AST allowed to forwards

ANA allows 0.4 AST per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 111 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 10 games, Elmer Soderblom has gone over 0.5 AST 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 36% across the full season. ANA has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 6th-most AST of 32 teams (0.4 per game). His game-to-game AST have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 36%.