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New York RangersIgor Shesterkin
#31 · G · 6' 1" · 199 lb · 19 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 15 of these 19 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Oct 9, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 9 seasons
Line
Saves · season avg 24.7 SV · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutIgor Shesterkin isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Knee Surgery
- Est. return:
- Sep 15, 2027
Shesterkin was hurt during Friday's game against the Capitals when his right leg got jammed into the post while returning to the crease on a scrambled play, and the Rangers ruled him out for the season a day later. He was placed on injured reserve Sunday, and the team has now provided some clarification on the exact nature of his injury. Dylan Garand is slated to serve as the Rangers' No. 1 option in the crease until Joonas Korpisalo (lower body) is back in action.
Verdict
vs 22.5 SVSavesNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 39% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line39argues against it
Consistency53neutral
Matchup0argues against it
Projection
20.5 SV(×0.91 context)
L5 21.0 · L10 21.7 · med 22.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 20.0 · ceil 30.4
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2019 games
53%over
10 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 32%–73%Season19 games
53%over
10 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 32%–73%Alternate lines — Saves (SV)
SV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16/19 | ||
| 74% | 14/19 | ||
| 74% | 14/19 | ||
| 22.5Current | 53% | 10/19 | |
| 42% | 8/19 | ||
| 37% | 7/19 | ||
| 37% | 7/19 |
Situational splits
Over 22.5 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%6/12Low
Away57%4/7Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low
1 day17%1/6Low
2 days57%4/7Low
3+ days75%3/4Low
With a teammate out
How this SV line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Sean Durzi out · Lower Body+3.5 SV when he sits
Without (15g)
25.5 SV
53% over 22.5
With (4g)
22.0 SV
50% over 22.5
Alberts Smits out · Upper Body+3.5 SV when he sits
Without (15g)
25.5 SV
53% over 22.5
With (4g)
22.0 SV
50% over 22.5
Next matchup — @ EDM
Nov 10, 2026
31stof 32 in SV allowed to goalies
EDM allows 20.4 SV per game to goalies (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 16 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Igor Shesterkin has gone over 22.5 SV 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 53% across the full season. EDM has been a tough matchup for goalies this season, allowing the 31st-most SV of 32 teams (20.4 per game). His game-to-game SV have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 7.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 53%.