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Columbus Blue JacketsJet Greaves
#73 · G · 6' 0" · 179 lb · 55 games
Stats updated: Apr 14, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Line
Saves · season avg 25.4 SVSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 24.5 SVSavesNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 48% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)46neutral
Projection vs line48neutral
Consistency64supports it
Projection
22.9 SV(×1.00 context)
L5 22.2 · L10 24.1 · med 22.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 21.0 · ceil 30.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2020 games
35%over
7 over · 13 under
Medium confidence95% CI 18%–57%Season55 games
51%over
28 over · 27 under
Medium confidence95% CI 38%–64%Alternate lines — Saves (SV)
SV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 40/55 | ||
| 65% | 36/55 | ||
| 58% | 32/55 | ||
| 24.5Current | 51% | 28/55 | |
| 42% | 23/55 | ||
| 38% | 21/55 | ||
| 35% | 19/55 |
Situational splits
Over 24.5 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home52%17/33Medium
Away50%11/22Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%2/4Low
1 day52%12/23Medium
2 days80%8/10Low
3+ days29%5/17Medium
Last matchup — vs WSH
Apr 14, 2026
17thof 32 in SV allowed to goalies
WSH allows 24.5 SV per game to goalies (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 80 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Jet Greaves has gone over 24.5 SV 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 51% across the full season. WSH has been a middling matchup for goalies this season, allowing the 17th-most SV of 32 teams (24.5 per game). His game-to-game SV have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 5.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 51%.