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New York RangersJoonas Korpisalo
#70 · G · 6' 4" · 200 lb · 28 games
Stats updated: Apr 26, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 11 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Saves · season avg 26.3 SVSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 26.5 SVSavesNo readFireFactor 5/100· model 37% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)54neutral
Projection vs line37argues against it
Consistency59neutral
Projection
23.9 SV(×0.93 context)
L5 22.6 · L10 25.9 · med 26.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 21.4 · ceil 32.2
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2020 games
60%over
12 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 39%–78%Season28 games
50%over
14 over · 14 under
Medium confidence95% CI 33%–67%Alternate lines — Saves (SV)
SV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61% | 17/28 | ||
| 54% | 15/28 | ||
| 54% | 15/28 | ||
| 26.5Current | 50% | 14/28 | |
| 46% | 13/28 | ||
| 43% | 12/28 | ||
| 36% | 10/28 |
Situational splits
Over 26.5 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home62%8/13Low
Away40%6/15Medium
Days since last game
1 day75%3/4Low
3+ days48%11/23Medium
Last matchup — @ CBJ
Apr 12, 2026
5thof 32 in SV allowed to goalies
CBJ allows 26.0 SV per game to goalies (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 83 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Joonas Korpisalo has gone over 26.5 SV 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. CBJ has been a favorable matchup for goalies this season, allowing the 5th-most SV of 32 teams (26.0 per game). His game-to-game SV have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 6.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.