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Philadelphia FlyersJoseph Woll
#60 · G · 6' 3" · 206 lb · 37 games
Stats updated: Apr 11, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Boston College
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Saves · season avg 28.7 SVSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 29.5 SVSavesNo readFireFactor 15/100· model 56% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line56neutral
Consistency67supports it
Projection
27.1 SV(×1.01 context)
L5 27.8 · L10 30.8 · med 32.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 24.0 · ceil 33.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
80%over
8 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 49%–94%Last 2020 games
60%over
12 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 39%–78%Season37 games
46%over
17 over · 20 under
Medium confidence95% CI 31%–62%Alternate lines — Saves (SV)
SV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70% | 26/37 | ||
| 65% | 24/37 | ||
| 57% | 21/37 | ||
| 29.5Current | 46% | 17/37 | |
| 41% | 15/37 | ||
| 30% | 11/37 | ||
| 24% | 9/37 |
Situational splits
Over 29.5 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home42%8/19Medium
Away50%9/18Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%2/2Low
1 day44%4/9Low
2 days60%6/10Low
3+ days33%5/15Medium
Last matchup — vs FLA
Apr 11, 2026
18thof 32 in SV allowed to goalies
FLA allows 24.4 SV per game to goalies (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 83 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Joseph Woll has gone over 29.5 SV 8 of 10 decided times (80%) — versus 46% across the full season. FLA has been a middling matchup for goalies this season, allowing the 18th-most SV of 32 teams (24.4 per game). His game-to-game SV have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 5.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 46%.