Montreal Canadiens

Kaiden Guhle Goals

Stats updated: May 30, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Kaiden Guhle has gone over 0.5 G in 0 of his last 10 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksGoals · season avg 0.0 G · our line

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OutKaiden Guhle isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Not Specified Groin Surgery
Est. return:: Oct 23, 2026

Reports surfaced early in the week that Guhle would miss the start of the 2026-27 campaign following offseason surgery, and the nature of his procedure and a return timetable have now been revealed. The 24-year-old's timeline suggests that he could return as early as mid-October, but the Canadiens could exercise caution with his recovery since he's slated to miss the entirety of training camp. Guhle recorded two goals, nine assists, 86 hits, 63 blocked shots and 41 PIM while averaging 19:28 of ice time across 39 regular-season appearances last year.

Verdict

vs 0.5 GGoals

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Projection

0.0 G(×0.98 context)

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 1010 games

0%over

0 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–28%

Last 2020 games

0%over

0 over · 20 under

High confidence95% CI 0%–16%

Season34 games

0%over

0 over · 34 under

High confidence95% CI 0%–10%

Alternate lines — Goals (G)

G over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate G line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/34
	0%	0/34
	0%	0/34
	0%	0/34

Last 20 games — G per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 G by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/16High

Away0%0/18High

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)0%0/4Low

1 day0%0/11Medium

2 days0%0/6Medium

3+ days0%0/12High

Last matchup — vs CAR

May 26, 2026

26thof 32 in G allowed to defensemen

CAR allows 0.1 G per game to defensemen (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 300 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Kaiden Guhle has gone over 0.5 G 0 of 10 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. CAR has been a tough matchup for defensemen this season, allowing the 26th-most G of 32 teams (0.1 per game). His game-to-game G have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.