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Vancouver CanucksKevin Lankinen
#32 · G · 6' 2" · 190 lb · 43 games
Stats updated: Apr 17, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Line
Saves · season avg 25.4 SVSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 25.5 SVSavesNo readFireFactor 17/100· model 61% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)57neutral
Projection vs line61supports it
Consistency54neutral
Projection
28.8 SV(×1.05 context)
L5 28.6 · L10 27.0 · med 29.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 20.0 · ceil 31.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2020 games
55%over
11 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 34%–74%Season43 games
51%over
22 over · 21 under
Medium confidence95% CI 37%–65%Alternate lines — Saves (SV)
SV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58% | 25/43 | ||
| 56% | 24/43 | ||
| 53% | 23/43 | ||
| 25.5Current | 51% | 22/43 | |
| 49% | 21/43 | ||
| 47% | 20/43 | ||
| 42% | 18/43 |
Situational splits
Over 25.5 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home36%8/22Medium
Away67%14/21Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)50%2/4Low
1 day45%5/11Low
2 days56%5/9Low
3+ days50%9/18Medium
Last matchup — @ EDM
Apr 17, 2026
6thof 32 in SV allowed to goalies
EDM allows 25.6 SV per game to goalies (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 86 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Kevin Lankinen has gone over 25.5 SV 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 51% across the full season. EDM has been a favorable matchup for goalies this season, allowing the 6th-most SV of 32 teams (25.6 per game). His game-to-game SV have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 7.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 51%.