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Carolina HurricanesLogan Stankoven
#22 · C · 5' 8" · 165 lb · 27 games
Stats updated: Jun 15, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Shots on Goal · season avg 2.4 SOGSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 2.5 SOGShots on GoalNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 61% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line61supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
2.0 SOG(×1.03 context)
L5 1.4 · L10 2.3 · med 2.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 1.0 · ceil 3.8
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2020 games
40%over
8 over · 12 under
Medium confidence95% CI 22%–61%Season27 games
41%over
11 over · 16 under
Medium confidence95% CI 25%–59%Alternate lines — Shots on Goal (SOG)
SOG over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 24/27 | ||
| 74% | 20/27 | ||
| 2.5Current | 41% | 11/27 | |
| 22% | 6/27 | ||
| 7% | 2/27 | ||
| 4% | 1/27 |
Situational splits
Over 2.5 SOG by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home25%4/16Medium
Away64%7/11Low
Days since last game
1 day33%1/3Low
2 days43%3/7Low
3+ days44%7/16Medium
Last matchup — vs VGK
Jun 12, 2026
25thof 32 in SOG allowed to forwards
VGK allows 1.8 SOG per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 619 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Logan Stankoven has gone over 2.5 SOG 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 41% across the full season. VGK has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 25th-most SOG of 32 teams (1.8 per game). His game-to-game SOG have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 41%.