Edmonton Oilers

Mattias Janmark Hits

Stats updated: Feb 26, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Mattias Janmark has gone over 0.5 HITS in 0 of his last 10 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: 11 seasons

Line

PrizePicksHits · season avg 0.3 HITS · our line

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OutMattias Janmark isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Undisclosed Surgery
Est. return:: Nov 28, 2026

Janmark underwent an undisclosed procedure earlier in the year, but he's currently shelved until further notice. The 33-year-old winger was limited in 2025-26, where he compiled a goal and eight points across 43 regular-season outings. In his absence, Mathieu Joseph and Max Jones are expected to serve as the team's left wingers in the bottom six to open the 2026-27 campaign.

Verdict

vs 0.5 HITSHits

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 78% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line78supports it

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup75supports it

Projection

0.1 HITS(×0.93 context)

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 1010 games

0%over

0 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–28%

Last 2020 games

20%over

4 over · 16 under

Medium confidence95% CI 8%–42%

Season25 games

32%over

8 over · 17 under

Medium confidence95% CI 17%–52%

Alternate lines — Hits (HITS)

HITS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate HITS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	32%	8/25
	0%	0/25
	0%	0/25
	0%	0/25

Last 20 games — HITS per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 HITS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home31%4/13Medium

Away33%4/12Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)0%0/2Low

1 day18%2/11Medium

2 days75%3/4Low

3+ days29%2/7Low

Next matchup — vs ANA

Nov 6, 2026

22ndof 32 in HITS allowed to forwards

ANA allows 1.3 HITS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 93 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Mattias Janmark has gone over 0.5 HITS 0 of 10 decided times (0%) — versus 32% across the full season. ANA has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 22nd-most HITS of 32 teams (1.3 per game). His game-to-game HITS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 32%.