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Seattle KrakenPhilipp Grubauer
#31 · G · 6' 1" · 188 lb · 30 games
Stats updated: Apr 6, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 12 seasons
Line
Saves · season avg 25.5 SVSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 25.5 SVSavesNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 44% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)55neutral
Projection vs line44neutral
Consistency54neutral
Projection
27.2 SV(×1.05 context)
L5 26.4 · L10 25.1 · med 27.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 20.0 · ceil 31.2
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2020 games
50%over
10 over · 10 under
Medium confidence95% CI 30%–70%Season30 games
47%over
14 over · 16 under
Medium confidence95% CI 30%–64%Alternate lines — Saves (SV)
SV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70% | 21/30 | ||
| 63% | 19/30 | ||
| 53% | 16/30 | ||
| 25.5Current | 47% | 14/30 | |
| 47% | 14/30 | ||
| 33% | 10/30 | ||
| 30% | 9/30 |
Situational splits
Over 25.5 SV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home36%5/14Medium
Away56%9/16Medium
Days since last game
1 day50%3/6Low
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days48%10/21Medium
Last matchup — vs CHI
Apr 5, 2026
32ndof 32 in SV allowed to goalies
CHI allows 22.0 SV per game to goalies (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 81 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Philipp Grubauer has gone over 25.5 SV 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 47% across the full season. CHI has been a tough matchup for goalies this season, allowing the 32nd-most SV of 32 teams (22.0 per game). His game-to-game SV have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 7.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.