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Anaheim DucksRyan Poehling
#25 · C · 6' 2" · 206 lb · 13 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 10 of these 13 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Oct 10, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- St. Cloud State
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Line
Shots on Goal · season avg 1.3 SOG · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutRyan Poehling isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Lower Body
- Est. return:
- Nov 25, 2026
Poehling was placed on injured reserve Tuesday morning, and the specifics of his injury have revealed that he's set to likely be sidelined into late November. In his absence, Roger McQueen, the 10th overall pick from the 2025 NHL Entry Draft, is expected to play in the team's middle six up the center of the ice. The 27-year-old Poehling was off to a solid start to the 2026-27 campaign prior to going down, posting a pair of points and solid category-coverage numbers across five games.
Verdict
vs 1.5 SOGShots on GoalNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 61% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)62supports it
Projection vs line61supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup75supports it
Projection
1.2 SOG(×0.98 context)
L5 0.8 · L10 1.4 · med 1.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.4 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2013 games
46%over
6 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%Season13 games
46%over
6 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%Alternate lines — Shots on Goal (SOG)
SOG over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 10/13 | ||
| 1.5Current | 46% | 6/13 | |
| 8% | 1/13 | ||
| 0% | 0/13 | ||
| 0% | 0/13 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 SOG by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%2/6Low
Away57%4/7Low
Days since last game
1 day33%2/6Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days60%3/5Low
With a teammate out
How this SOG line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
A.J. Greer out · Upper Body
Without (10g)
1.3 SOG
50% over 1.5
With (3g)
1.3 SOG
33% over 1.5
Next matchup — @ EDM
Nov 6, 2026
22ndof 32 in SOG allowed to forwards
EDM allows 1.7 SOG per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 101 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Ryan Poehling has gone over 1.5 SOG 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 46% across the full season. EDM has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 22nd-most SOG of 32 teams (1.7 per game). His game-to-game SOG have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 46%.