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New York RangersSean Durzi
#5 · D · 6' 1" · 196 lb · 7 games
Stats updated: Oct 26, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 7 seasons
Line
Shots on Goal · season avg 0.6 SOG · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutSean Durzi isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Lower Body
- Est. return:
- Nov 9, 2026
Durzi's move to IR is retroactive to Oct. 26, when he last played for the Rangers. He has two goals and five points in 14 outings in 2026-27. Scott Morrow has played in the Rangers' past two games because of Durzi's absence.
Verdict
vs 0.5 SOGShots on GoalNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 49% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)71supports it
Projection vs line49neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
0.8 SOG(×1.02 context)
L5 0.6 · L10 0.6 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 107 games
43%over
3 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 16%–75%Last 207 games
43%over
3 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 16%–75%Season7 games
43%over
3 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 16%–75%Alternate lines — Shots on Goal (SOG)
SOG over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 43% | 3/7 | |
| 14% | 1/7 | ||
| 0% | 0/7 | ||
| 0% | 0/7 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 SOG by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/3Low
Away75%3/4Low
Days since last game
1 day33%1/3Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days50%1/2Low
Next matchup — @ EDM
Nov 10, 2026
12thof 32 in SOG allowed to defensemen
EDM allows 1.4 SOG per game to defensemen (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 60 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 7 games, Sean Durzi has gone over 0.5 SOG 3 of 7 decided times (43%) — versus 43% across the full season. EDM has been a middling matchup for defensemen this season, allowing the 12th-most SOG of 32 teams (1.4 per game). His game-to-game SOG have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 43%.