New Jersey Devils

Topias Vilen Hits

Stats updated: Apr 14, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Topias Vilen has gone over 0.5 HITS in 0 of his last 1 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Experience: Rookie

Line

Hits · season avg 0.0 HITS

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Verdict

vs 0.5 HITSHits

Cold underFireFactor 63/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Projection

0.0 HITS

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs under on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 51 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 101 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 201 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Season1 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Alternate lines — Hits (HITS)

HITS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate HITS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1

Last 1 games — HITS per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 HITS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Away0%0/1Low

Last matchup — @ BOS

Apr 14, 2026

6thof 32 in HITS allowed to defensemen

BOS allows 1.2 HITS per game to defensemen (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 245 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 1 games, Topias Vilen has gone over 0.5 HITS 0 of 1 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. BOS has been a favorable matchup for defensemen this season, allowing the 6th-most HITS of 32 teams (1.2 per game). His game-to-game HITS have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.