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Pittsburgh PenguinsTrevor van Riemsdyk
#57 · D · 6' 3" · 210 lb · 10 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 7 of these 10 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Oct 9, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- New Hampshire
- Experience
- 14 seasons
Line
Shots on Goal · season avg 0.7 SOG · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutTrevor van Riemsdyk isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Lower Body
- Est. return:
- Nov 8, 2026
ir
Verdict
vs 0.5 SOGShots on GoalNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 76% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line76supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
0.5 SOG(×0.99 context)
L5 1.0 · L10 0.7 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Season10 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Alternate lines — Shots on Goal (SOG)
SOG over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 30% | 3/10 | |
| 10% | 1/10 | ||
| 10% | 1/10 | ||
| 10% | 1/10 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 SOG by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%2/3Low
Away14%1/7Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low
1 day50%1/2Low
2 days0%0/2Low
3+ days25%1/4Low
Next matchup — vs BOS
Nov 6, 2026
18thof 32 in SOG allowed to defensemen
BOS allows 1.3 SOG per game to defensemen (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 50 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Trevor van Riemsdyk has gone over 0.5 SOG 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 30% across the full season. BOS has been a middling matchup for defensemen this season, allowing the 18th-most SOG of 32 teams (1.3 per game). His game-to-game SOG have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 30%.