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Montreal CanadiensZack Bolduc
#76 · RW · 6' 0" · 187 lb · 64 games
Stats updated: May 30, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Shots on Goal · season avg 1.4 SOGSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 1.5 SOGShots on GoalNo readFireFactor 7/100· model 63% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)77supports it
Projection vs line63supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
0.8 SOG(×0.94 context)
L5 0.6 · L10 0.8 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 3.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
20%over
2 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 6%–51%Last 2020 games
35%over
7 over · 13 under
Medium confidence95% CI 18%–57%Season64 games
42%over
27 over · 37 under
High confidence95% CI 31%–54%Alternate lines — Shots on Goal (SOG)
SOG over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 41/64 | ||
| 1.5Current | 42% | 27/64 | |
| 22% | 14/64 | ||
| 6% | 4/64 | ||
| 2% | 1/64 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 SOG by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home43%15/35Medium
Away41%12/29Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)40%4/10Low
1 day65%15/23Medium
2 days25%2/8Low
3+ days23%5/22Medium
Last matchup — @ CAR
May 30, 2026
31stof 32 in SOG allowed to forwards
CAR allows 1.7 SOG per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 597 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Zack Bolduc has gone over 1.5 SOG 2 of 10 decided times (20%) — versus 42% across the full season. CAR has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 31st-most SOG of 32 teams (1.7 per game). His game-to-game SOG have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 42%.