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Dallas WingsAlanna Smith Steals
Stats updated: Aug 30, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Alanna Smith has gone over 1.5 STL in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.
- College
- Stanford
- Experience
- 9 seasons
Line
Steals · season avg 1.1 STL · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutAlanna Smith isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Lower Leg
- Est. return:
- Sep 27, 2026
Smith suffered a lower-leg injury during the FIBA World Cup, and it sounds like she can be deemed week-to-week for the time being. Her status for the remainder of the regular season is in doubt, but she could have a chance to return for the start of the postseason in late September. Maddy Siegrist and Alysha Clark should have an opportunity for more playing time in the frontcourt going forward.
Verdict
vs 1.5 STLStealsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 69% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line69supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
1.2 STL(×1.04 context)
L5 1.2 · L10 1.2 · med 1.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 1.0 · ceil 2.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2011 games
27%over
3 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 10%–57%Season11 games
27%over
3 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 10%–57%Alternate lines — Steals (STL)
STL over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 9/11 | ||
| 1.5Current | 27% | 3/11 | |
| 0% | 0/11 | ||
| 0% | 0/11 | ||
| 0% | 0/11 |
Situational splits
Over 1.5 STL by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home14%1/7Low
Away50%2/4Low
Days since last game
1 day20%1/5Low
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days33%1/3Low
With a teammate out
How this STL line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Azzi Fudd out · Right Knee Not Specified-0.3 STL when he sits
Without (8g)
1.0 STL
13% over 1.5
With (3g)
1.3 STL
67% over 1.5
Alysha Clark out · Face+0.3 STL when he sits
Without (3g)
1.3 STL
33% over 1.5
With (8g)
1.0 STL
25% over 1.5
Next matchup — @ SEA
Sep 24, 2026
5thof 15 in STL allowed to forwards
SEA allows 1.0 STL per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 86 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Alanna Smith has gone over 1.5 STL 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 27% across the full season. SEA has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 5th-most STL of 15 teams (1.0 per game). His game-to-game STL have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 27%.
More Alanna Smith research
Alanna Smith — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Smith Rebounds→
Rebounds hit rates and trends.
Smith Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Smith 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Smith Blocks→
Blocks hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
WNBA Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.