Toronto Tempo

Aneesah Morrow Steals

Stats updated: Jul 30, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Aneesah Morrow has gone over 1.5 STL in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: LSU
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksSteals · season avg 1.1 STL · our line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

OutAneesah Morrow isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Not Injury Related
Est. return:: Aug 4, 2026

Morrow is on track to make her Tempo debut Tuesday, and it'll be interesting to see what her role in the rotation looks like. Per 36 minutes this season, Morrow is averaging 18.0 points, 13.8 rebounds, 2.6 assists, 1.5 triples and 1.5 steals per contest.

Verdict

vs 1.5 STLSteals

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 76% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line76supports it

Consistency2argues against it

Matchup100supports it

Projection

1.0 STL(×0.89 context)

L5 1.2 · L10 1.1 · med 1.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 1.0 · ceil 1.8

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 1010 games

30%over

3 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%

Last 2012 games

25%over

3 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 9%–53%

Season12 games

25%over

3 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 9%–53%

Alternate lines — Steals (STL)

STL over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate STL line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	83%	10/12
1.5Current	25%	3/12
	0%	0/12
	0%	0/12
	0%	0/12

Last 12 games — STL per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 STL by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home50%2/4Low

Away13%1/8Medium

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low

1 day25%1/4Low

2 days0%0/2Low

3+ days25%1/4Low

With a teammate out

How this STL line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Brittney Sykes out · Foot-0.3 STL when he sits

Without (9g)

1.0 STL

22% over 1.5

With (3g)

1.3 STL

33% over 1.5

Next matchup — @ GS

Aug 5, 2026

15thof 15 in STL allowed to forwards

GS allows 0.4 STL per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 57 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Aneesah Morrow has gone over 1.5 STL 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 25% across the full season. GS has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 15th-most STL of 15 teams (0.4 per game). His game-to-game STL have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 25%.