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Dallas WingsAwak Kuier Rebounds
Stats updated: Aug 2, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Awak Kuier has gone over 3.5 REB in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Rebounds · season avg 4.4 REB · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 3.5 REBReboundsNo readFireFactor 9/100· model 48% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)90supports it
Projection vs line48neutral
Consistency6argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
3.7 REB(×0.82 context)
L5 5.4 · L10 4.4 · med 4.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 2.6 · ceil 5.4
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2014 games
64%over
9 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 39%–84%Season14 games
64%over
9 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 39%–84%Alternate lines — Rebounds (REB)
REB over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 14/14 | ||
| 100% | 14/14 | ||
| 79% | 11/14 | ||
| 3.5Current | 64% | 9/14 | |
| 29% | 4/14 | ||
| 21% | 3/14 | ||
| 7% | 1/14 |
Situational splits
Over 3.5 REB by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%3/6Low
Away75%6/8Low
Days since last game
1 day50%2/4Low
2 days67%2/3Low
3+ days83%5/6Low
Next matchup — @ WSH
Aug 5, 2026
13thof 15 in REB allowed to forwards
WSH allows 4.4 REB per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 48 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Awak Kuier has gone over 3.5 REB 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 64% across the full season. WSH has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 13th-most REB of 15 teams (4.4 per game). His game-to-game REB have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
3 books @ 3.5 REB- No-vig fair (over)
- 41.0%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 59.0%
Best Over
Caesars+128
-6.5% EV
Best Under
FanDuel-114
+10.7% EV
Model vs market (over)+7.2%
Our model puts the over at 48.2% vs the market's no-vig 41.0%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Rebounds (REB)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (3.5 REB). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 64%.
More Awak Kuier research
Awak Kuier — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Kuier Assists→
Assists hit rates and trends.
Kuier 3-Pointers Made→
3-Pointers Made hit rates and trends.
Kuier Steals→
Steals hit rates and trends.
Kuier Blocks→
Blocks hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
WNBA Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.