Atlanta Dream

Brionna Jones Points + Rebounds + Assists

Stats updated: Aug 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Brionna Jones has gone over 18.5 PRA in 4 of his last 6 decided games (67%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: Maryland
Experience: 11 seasons

Line

PrizePicksPoints + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 17.8 PRA · our line

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OutBrionna Jones isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Left Leg
Est. return:: May 1, 2027

This is a tough blow for a Dream team that is sitting in second place in the Eastern Conference. Jones managed to play in just nine games this campaign, finishing with averages of 8.2 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2.0 assists. Look for the Dream to use a committee approach to soak up those minutes going forward.

Verdict

vs 18.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + Assists

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 31% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)98supports it

Projection vs line31argues against it

Consistency80supports it

Matchup25argues against it

Projection

15.8 PRA(×0.89 context)

L5 17.6 · L10 17.8 · med 19.0

Consistency

Steady

floor 16.0 · ceil 19.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 106 games

67%over

4 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 30%–90%

Last 206 games

67%over

4 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 30%–90%

Season6 games

67%over

4 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 30%–90%

Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)

PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate PRA line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	83%	5/6
	67%	4/6
	67%	4/6
18.5Current	67%	4/6
	17%	1/6
	0%	0/6
	0%	0/6

Last 6 games — PRA per game vs. line 18.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 18.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home75%3/4Low

Away50%1/2Low

Days since last game

1 day67%2/3Low

2 days50%1/2Low

Next matchup — @ NY

Sep 22, 2026

13thof 15 in PRA allowed to forwards

NY allows 16.8 PRA per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 76 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 6 games, Brionna Jones has gone over 18.5 PRA 4 of 6 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. NY has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 13th-most PRA of 15 teams (16.8 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 2.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.