Loading…
Los Angeles SparksDearica Hamby
#5 · F · 6' 3" · 189 lb · 26 games
Stats updated: Sep 17, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Wake Forest
- Experience
- 13 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 16.2 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutDearica Hamby isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Knee
- Est. return:
- Sep 24, 2026
Hamby will sit out Los Angeles' penultimate game of the season due to a left knee injury. Her final chance to play again in 2026 will come Thursday against the Valkyries. Emma Cannon and Jihyun Park will likely see extended minutes in Hamby's stead.
Verdict
vs 16.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 61% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)63supports it
Projection vs line61supports it
Consistency49neutral
Matchup50neutral
Projection
15.1 PTS(×0.95 context)
L5 16.6 · L10 15.8 · med 15.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 12.0 · ceil 21.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2020 games
45%over
9 over · 11 under
Medium confidence95% CI 26%–66%Season26 games
46%over
12 over · 14 under
Medium confidence95% CI 29%–65%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 18/26 | ||
| 65% | 17/26 | ||
| 58% | 15/26 | ||
| 16.5Current | 46% | 12/26 | |
| 38% | 10/26 | ||
| 35% | 9/26 | ||
| 27% | 7/26 |
Situational splits
Over 16.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%8/12Low
Away29%4/14Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)67%2/3Low
1 day38%3/8Low
2 days50%2/4Low
3+ days50%5/10Low
With a teammate out
How this PTS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Cameron Brink out · Right Ankle-0.6 PTS when he sits
Without (8g)
15.8 PTS
50% over 16.5
With (18g)
16.4 PTS
44% over 16.5
Aaliyah Nye out · Left Ankle+0.5 PTS when he sits
Without (17g)
16.4 PTS
47% over 16.5
With (9g)
15.9 PTS
44% over 16.5
Next matchup — @ LV
Sep 23, 2026
10thof 15 in PTS allowed to forwards
LV allows 10.0 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 78 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Dearica Hamby has gone over 16.5 PTS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 46% across the full season. LV has been a tough matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 10th-most PTS of 15 teams (10.0 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 46%.