Golden State Valkyries

Gabby Williams Turnovers

Stats updated: Aug 27, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Gabby Williams has gone over 1.5 TOV in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: UConn
Experience: 9 seasons

Line

PrizePicksTurnovers · season avg 2.0 TOV · our line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

OutGabby Williams isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Not Injury Related
Est. return:: Sep 22, 2026

Williams is fresh off winning a silver medal with France in the FIBA World Cup but will miss a third consecutive contest for the Valkyries. Her next chance to play will come in Portland on Tuesday. In the meantime, Laeticia Amihere and Tiffany Hayes are candidates for increased playing time.

Verdict

vs 1.5 TOVTurnovers

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 59% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)71supports it

Projection vs line59neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

2.1 TOV(×1.03 context)

L5 2.2 · L10 2.1 · med 2.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 1.0 · ceil 3.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.

Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

60%over

6 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%

Last 2020 games

55%over

11 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 34%–74%

Season21 games

57%over

12 over · 9 under

Medium confidence95% CI 37%–76%

Alternate lines — Turnovers (TOV)

TOV over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate TOV line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	81%	17/21
1.5Current	57%	12/21
	33%	7/21
	14%	3/21
	10%	2/21

Last 20 games — TOV per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 TOV by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home64%9/14Medium

Away43%3/7Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low

1 day86%6/7Low

2 days60%3/5Low

3+ days29%2/7Low

Last matchup — @ MIN

Aug 24, 2026

7thof 15 in TOV allowed to forwards

MIN allows 1.4 TOV per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 72 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Gabby Williams has gone over 1.5 TOV 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 57% across the full season. MIN has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 7th-most TOV of 15 teams (1.4 per game). His game-to-game TOV have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 57%.