Connecticut Sun

Hailey Van Lith Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Jul 19, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Hailey Van Lith has gone over 18.5 FS in 3 of his last 5 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: TCU
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 18.7 FS · our line

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OutHailey Van Lith isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Coach's Decision
Est. return:: Aug 7, 2026

out

Verdict

vs 18.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 50% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it

Projection vs line50neutral

Consistency71supports it

Projection

18.2 FS

L5 18.7 · L10 18.7 · med 18.7

Consistency

Steady

floor 16.7 · ceil 21.1

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 105 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 205 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Season5 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	80%	4/5
	80%	4/5
	75%	3/4
18.5Current	60%	3/5
	40%	2/5
	40%	2/5
	20%	1/5

Last 5 games — FS per game vs. line 18.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 18.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home67%2/3Low

Away50%1/2Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low

3+ days33%1/3Low

Last matchup — @ GS

May 26, 2026

14thof 15 in FS allowed to guards

GS allows 20.1 FS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 73 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 5 games, Hailey Van Lith has gone over 18.5 FS 3 of 5 decided times (60%) — versus 60% across the full season. GS has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 14th-most FS of 15 teams (20.1 per game). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 3.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.