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Golden State ValkyriesJanelle Salaun
#13 · F · 6' 2" · 16 games
Stats updated: Aug 2, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 15.8 PTS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Points (PTS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Verdict
vs 13 PTSPointsWarm overFireFactor 34/100· model 67% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line67supports it
Consistency39argues against it
Projection
16.9 PTS(×0.99 context)
L5 17.4 · L10 15.3 · med 14.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 11.0 · ceil 21.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
75%over
3 over · 1 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 30%–95%Last 1010 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Last 2016 games
60%over
9 over · 6 under · 1 push
Medium confidence95% CI 36%–80%Season16 games
60%over
9 over · 6 under · 1 push
Medium confidence95% CI 36%–80%Situational splits
Over 13 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home63%5/8Low
Away57%4/7Low
Days since last game
1 day100%3/3Low
2 days50%2/4Low
3+ days43%3/7Low
Last matchup — vs TOR
Aug 2, 2026
6thof 15 in PTS allowed to forwards
TOR allows 10.4 PTS per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 51 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Janelle Salaun has gone over 13 PTS 5 of 9 decided times (56%) — versus 60% across the full season. TOR has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 6th-most PTS of 15 teams (10.4 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
3 books @ 13.5 PTS- No-vig fair (over)
- 47.9%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 52.1%
Best Over
FanDuel-102
-5.2% EV
Model vs market (over)+19.5%
Our model puts the over at 67.3% vs the market's no-vig 47.9%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Points (PTS)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (13.25 PTS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.