Loading…
Toronto TempoJulie Allemand
#22 · G · 5' 10" · 147 lb · 12 games
Stats updated: Aug 2, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 8.2 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 9.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 18/100· model 65% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)73supports it
Projection vs line65supports it
Consistency20argues against it
Projection
8.2 PTS(×0.95 context)
L5 9.6 · L10 7.9 · med 9.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 4.0 · ceil 11.0
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2012 games
42%over
5 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–68%Season12 games
42%over
5 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–68%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58% | 7/12 | ||
| 58% | 7/12 | ||
| 58% | 7/12 | ||
| 9.5Current | 42% | 5/12 | |
| 33% | 4/12 | ||
| 17% | 2/12 | ||
| 17% | 2/12 |
Situational splits
Over 9.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%3/9Low
Away67%2/3Low
Days since last game
1 day33%1/3Low
2 days0%0/1Low
3+ days57%4/7Low
Last matchup — @ GS
Aug 2, 2026
15thof 15 in PTS allowed to guards
GS allows 10.1 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 73 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Julie Allemand has gone over 9.5 PTS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 42% across the full season. GS has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 15th-most PTS of 15 teams (10.1 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 3.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Line shopping — Points (PTS)
Each book’s line and your season under rate at that number, vs the market consensus (5.5 PTS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
under rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 42%.