Phoenix Mercury

Kara Dunn Points + Rebounds + Assists

Stats updated: Sep 19, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Kara Dunn has gone over 11.5 PRA in 1 of his last 1 decided games (100%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: USC
Experience: Rookie

Line

PrizePicksPoints + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 12.0 PRA · our line

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Game-Time DecisionConfirm Kara Dunn's status before the game.

Injury:: Right Knee

Dunn finds herself on the injury report ahead of Monday's game due to a knee injury she likely sustained in Saturday's game against the Wings. The developmental player has appeared in each of the last three games, averaging 5.0 points and 1.3 rebounds in 14.3 minutes per contest.

Verdict

vs 11.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + Assists

Warm overFireFactor 47/100· model 42% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line42neutral

Consistency100supports it

Matchup25argues against it

Projection

10.8 PRA(×0.90 context)

L5 12.0 · L10 12.0 · med 12.0

Consistency

Steady

floor 12.0 · ceil 12.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 51 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 101 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 201 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Season1 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)

PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate PRA line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	1/1
	100%	1/1
	100%	1/1
11.5Current	100%	1/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1

Last 1 games — PRA per game vs. line 11.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 11.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%1/1Low

Next matchup — vs DAL

Sep 22, 2026

12thof 15 in PRA allowed to guards

DAL allows 17.6 PRA per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 122 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 1 games, Kara Dunn has gone over 11.5 PRA 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. DAL has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 12th-most PRA of 15 teams (17.6 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.