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Phoenix MercuryKyara Linskens
#31 · C · 6' 4" · 9 games
Stats updated: Jul 8, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 5.0 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 3.5 PTSPointsHot overFireFactor 54/100· model 70% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line70supports it
Consistency15argues against it
Projection
5.0 PTS(×1.07 context)
L5 4.4 · L10 5.0 · med 4.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 3.0 · ceil 7.4
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 109 games
67%over
6 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 35%–88%Last 209 games
67%over
6 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 35%–88%Season9 games
67%over
6 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 35%–88%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 9/9 | ||
| 100% | 9/9 | ||
| 89% | 8/9 | ||
| 3.5Current | 67% | 6/9 | |
| 33% | 3/9 | ||
| 33% | 3/9 | ||
| 33% | 3/9 |
Situational splits
Over 3.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%2/3Low
Away67%4/6Low
Days since last game
1 day100%1/1Low
2 days50%1/2Low
3+ days80%4/5Low
With a teammate out
How this PTS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Jovana Nogic out · Not Injury Related-2.0 PTS when he sits
Without (3g)
3.7 PTS
67% over 3.5
With (6g)
5.7 PTS
67% over 3.5
Last matchup — @ TOR
Jun 27, 2026
8thof 15 in PTS allowed to centers
TOR allows 11.2 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 18 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 9 games, Kyara Linskens has gone over 3.5 PTS 6 of 9 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. TOR has been a middling matchup for centers this season, allowing the 8th-most PTS of 15 teams (11.2 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 2.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.