Minnesota Lynx

Liatu King Steals

Stats updated: Jul 15, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Liatu King has gone over 0.5 STL in 2 of his last 3 decided games (67%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: Notre Dame
Experience: 2 seasons

Line

PrizePicksSteals · season avg 0.7 STL · our line

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OutLiatu King isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Coach's Decision
Est. return:: Aug 6, 2026

King will be held out of Sunday's contest as the Lynx manage her eligibility under a developmental contract. Her next chance to suit up will come Thursday against the Sparks.

Verdict

vs 0.5 STLSteals

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 50% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)99supports it

Projection vs line50neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

0.6 STL

L5 0.7 · L10 0.7 · med 1.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.4 · ceil 1.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 53 games

67%over

2 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%

Last 103 games

67%over

2 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%

Last 203 games

67%over

2 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%

Season3 games

67%over

2 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–94%

Alternate lines — Steals (STL)

STL over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate STL line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	67%	2/3
	0%	0/3
	0%	0/3
	0%	0/3

Last 3 games — STL per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 STL by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%1/1Low

Away50%1/2Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low

3+ days0%0/1Low

Last matchup — @ CHI

May 29, 2026

6thof 15 in STL allowed to forwards

CHI allows 1.0 STL per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 53 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 3 games, Liatu King has gone over 0.5 STL 2 of 3 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. CHI has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 6th-most STL of 15 teams (1.0 per game). His game-to-game STL have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.