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Chicago SkyNatasha Cloud
#9 · G · 5' 10" · 160 lb · 25 games
Stats updated: Sep 17, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Saint Joseph's
- Experience
- 12 seasons
Line
Points · season avg 13.4 PTS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutNatasha Cloud isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Knee
- Est. return:
- Sep 24, 2026
Cloud will miss a second consecutive contest with a left knee injury she sustained in Thursday's loss to Washington. With the veteran guard sidelined, Jacy Sheldon, Rachel Banham and Morgan Maly are candidates to see increased playing time.
Verdict
vs 12.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 58% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)61supports it
Projection vs line58neutral
Consistency23argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
16.1 PTS(×0.98 context)
L5 19.4 · L10 15.4 · med 14.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 8.6 · ceil 17.2
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2020 games
55%over
11 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 34%–74%Season25 games
52%over
13 over · 12 under
Medium confidence95% CI 33%–70%Alternate lines — Points (PTS)
PTS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72% | 18/25 | ||
| 72% | 18/25 | ||
| 52% | 13/25 | ||
| 12.5Current | 52% | 13/25 | |
| 44% | 11/25 | ||
| 44% | 11/25 | ||
| 28% | 7/25 |
Situational splits
Over 12.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%10/15Medium
Away30%3/10Low
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low
1 day50%5/10Low
2 days67%2/3Low
3+ days60%6/10Low
With a teammate out
How this PTS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Skylar Diggins out · Right Knee+1.2 PTS when he sits
Without (17g)
13.8 PTS
53% over 12.5
With (8g)
12.6 PTS
50% over 12.5
Azura Stevens out · Right Knee+0.3 PTS when he sits
Without (6g)
13.7 PTS
50% over 12.5
With (19g)
13.4 PTS
53% over 12.5
Next matchup — vs TOR
Sep 23, 2026
10thof 15 in PTS allowed to guards
TOR allows 11.7 PTS per game to guards (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 112 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Natasha Cloud has gone over 12.5 PTS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 52% across the full season. TOR has been a tough matchup for guards this season, allowing the 10th-most PTS of 15 teams (11.7 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 6.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 52%.