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Washington MysticsShakira Austin
#0 · C · 6' 5" · 190 lb · 11 games
Stats updated: Jul 31, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Ole Miss
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Points · season avg 17.3 PTS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Points (PTS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
Verdict
vs 17.5 PTSPointsNo readFireFactor 8/100· model 54% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)60neutral
Projection vs line54neutral
Consistency44neutral
Projection
18.2 PTS(×0.95 context)
L5 19.4 · L10 17.4 · med 17.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 12.0 · ceil 19.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2011 games
45%over
5 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–72%Season11 games
45%over
5 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–72%Situational splits
Over 17.5 PTS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home38%3/8Low
Away67%2/3Low
Days since last game
1 day0%0/1Low
2 days100%2/2Low
3+ days43%3/7Low
Last matchup — vs DAL
Jul 31, 2026
4thof 15 in PTS allowed to centers
DAL allows 13.8 PTS per game to centers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 24 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Shakira Austin has gone over 17.5 PTS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 45% across the full season. DAL has been a favorable matchup for centers this season, allowing the 4th-most PTS of 15 teams (13.8 per game). His game-to-game PTS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
5 books @ 17.5 PTS- No-vig fair (over)
- 51.9%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 48.1%
Best Over
Hard Rock Bet+100
+3.8% EV
Best Under
FanDuel-102
-4.8% EV
Model vs market (over)-5.7%
Our model puts the over at 46.2% vs the market's no-vig 51.9%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Points (PTS)
Each book’s line and your season under rate at that number, vs the market consensus (17.5 PTS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
under rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 45%.