
Stats updated: Sep 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Adrion Boyd carries hit rates and matchup research from public game logs.
No decided games at this line yet — no read.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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MERC allows 9.4 CAR per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 8 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableAdrion Boyd has no recent decided games against a 0.5 CAR line. MERC has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 76th-most CAR of 228 teams (9.4 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game CAR have been variable (σ ≈ —), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence.
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Rushing TDs hit rates and trends.
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Receiving Yards hit rates and trends.
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.