Loading…
Iowa State CyclonesAlex Manske
#7 · QB · 6' 3" · 225 lb · 1 games
Stats updated: Nov 8, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Iowa State
- Experience
- 2 seasons
Line
Passing Yards · season avg 28.0 PASS YDSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 27.5 PASS YDSPassing YardsHot overFireFactor 69/100· model 100% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Consistency100supports it
Projection
28.0 PASS YDS
L5 28.0 · L10 28.0 · med 28.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 28.0 · ceil 28.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs over on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 51 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 101 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Last 201 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Season1 game
100%over
1 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%Alternate lines — Passing Yards (PASS YDS)
PASS YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 100% | 1/1 | ||
| 27.5Current | 100% | 1/1 | |
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 | ||
| 0% | 0/1 |
Situational splits
Over 27.5 PASS YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%1/1Low
Last matchup — vs SDAK
Aug 30, 2025
17thof 234 in PASS YDS allowed to quarterbacks
SDAK allows 275.5 PASS YDS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 2 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 1 games, Alex Manske has gone over 27.5 PASS YDS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. SDAK has been a favorable matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 17th-most PASS YDS of 234 teams (275.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game PASS YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.