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UCLA BruinsBrayden Loftin Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Sep 19, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Brayden Loftin has gone over 2.5 FS in 2 of his last 7 decided games (29%), measured against our typical-game line.
- College
- UCLA
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 2.3 FS · our lineSave this DK Pick6 prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 2.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)Cool underFireFactor 49/100· model 42% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line42neutral
Consistency24argues against it
Projection
2.9 FS(×1.13 context)
L5 2.4 · L10 2.3 · med 1.9
Consistency
Variable
floor 1.7 · ceil 2.6
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 107 games
29%over
2 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 8%–64%Last 207 games
29%over
2 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 8%–64%Season7 games
29%over
2 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 8%–64%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 7/7 | ||
| 86% | 6/7 | ||
| 2.5Current | 29% | 2/7 | |
| 14% | 1/7 | ||
| 14% | 1/7 | ||
| 0% | 0/7 |
Situational splits
Over 2.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home40%2/5Low
Away0%0/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days17%1/6Low
Next matchup — @ MD
Sep 26, 2026
31stof 216 in FS allowed to tight ends
MD allows 8.4 FS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 5 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 7 games, Brayden Loftin has gone over 2.5 FS 2 of 7 decided times (29%) — versus 29% across the full season. MD has been a favorable matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 31st-most FS of 216 teams (8.4 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 29%.
More Brayden Loftin research
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.