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West Virginia MountaineersCam Cook
#4 · RB · 5' 9" · 203 lb · 15 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 13 of these 15 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 19, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- West Virginia
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 128.3 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this DK Pick6 prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 123.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 5/100· model 29% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)58neutral
Projection vs line29argues against it
Consistency50neutral
Projection
147.2 RUSH YDS(×1.17 context)
L5 123.6 · L10 131.0 · med 127.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 98.0 · ceil 143.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2015 games
47%over
7 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–70%Season15 games
47%over
7 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–70%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 9/15 | ||
| 60% | 9/15 | ||
| 53% | 8/15 | ||
| 123.5Current | 47% | 7/15 | |
| 47% | 7/15 | ||
| 47% | 7/15 | ||
| 47% | 7/15 |
Situational splits
Over 123.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home71%5/7Low
Away25%2/8Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%7/14Low
Next matchup — vs OKST
Sep 26, 2026
169thof 228 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
OKST allows 33.3 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 7 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Cam Cook has gone over 123.5 RUSH YDS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 47% across the full season. OKST has been a tough matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 169th-most RUSH YDS of 228 teams (33.3 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 38.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
1 book @ 95.5 RUSH YDS- No-vig fair (over)
- 50.1%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 49.9%
Best Over
Caesars-115
-6.3% EV
Best Under
Caesars-114
-6.3% EV
Model vs market (over)+20.4%
Our model puts the over at 70.5% vs the market's no-vig 50.1%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
Each book’s line and your season under rate at that number, vs the market consensus (95 RUSH YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
under rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.