Oklahoma Sooners

Carson Kent Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Oct 11, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Carson Kent has gone over 1.5 FS in 3 of his last 3 decided games (100%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: Oklahoma
Experience: 4 seasons

Line

Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 1.9 FS

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Verdict

vs 1.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Blazing overFireFactor 85/100· model 91% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line91supports it

Consistency72supports it

Projection

1.9 FS

L5 1.9 · L10 1.9 · med 1.7

Consistency

Steady

floor 1.6 · ceil 2.1

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 53 games

100%over

3 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 44%–100%

Last 103 games

100%over

3 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 44%–100%

Last 203 games

100%over

3 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 44%–100%

Season3 games

100%over

3 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 44%–100%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	3/3
1.5Current	100%	3/3
	0%	0/3
	0%	0/3
	0%	0/3

Last 3 games — FS per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%2/2Low

Away100%1/1Low

Days since last game

3+ days100%2/2Low

Last matchup — @ TEX

Oct 11, 2025

168thof 223 in FS allowed to tight ends

TEX allows 4.0 FS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 19 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 3 games, Carson Kent has gone over 1.5 FS 3 of 3 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. TEX has been a tough matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 168th-most FS of 223 teams (4.0 per game). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.