Youngstown State Penguins

Dorian Williams Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Sep 5, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Dorian Williams fantasy score (prizepicks) hit rates and matchup research from public game logs.

Line

DK Pick6Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 1.5 FS · our line

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Verdict

vs 1.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 22/100· model 50% under

Projection vs line50neutral

Consistency100supports it

Projection

1.5 FS

L5 1.5 · L10 1.5 · med 1.5

Consistency

Steady

floor 1.5 · ceil 1.5

Matchup

small sample

No decided games at this line yet — no read.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 51 game

—over

0 over · 0 under · 1 push

No decided games at this line

Last 101 game

—over

0 over · 0 under · 1 push

No decided games at this line

Last 201 game

—over

0 over · 0 under · 1 push

No decided games at this line

Season1 game

—over

0 over · 0 under · 1 push

No decided games at this line

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	1/1
1.5Current	—	—
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1

Last 1 games — FS per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Away—0/0Low

Last matchup — @ UK

Sep 5, 2026

44thof 228 in FS allowed to wide receivers

UK allows 13.0 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 8 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Favorable

The read

Dorian Williams has no recent decided games against a 1.5 FS line. UK has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 44th-most FS of 228 teams (13.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.