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Massachusetts MinutemenJacquon Gibson Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Nov 25, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
Jacquon Gibson has gone over 12.5 FS in 5 of his last 9 decided games (56%), measured against our typical-game line.
- College
- Massachusetts
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 14.3 FSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 12.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 10/100· model 56% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)67supports it
Projection vs line56neutral
Consistency29argues against it
Projection
13.9 FS(×0.94 context)
L5 13.8 · L10 14.3 · med 12.6
Consistency
Variable
floor 9.1 · ceil 19.8
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 109 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Last 209 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Season9 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 6/9 | ||
| 56% | 5/9 | ||
| 56% | 5/9 | ||
| 12.5Current | 56% | 5/9 | |
| 33% | 3/9 | ||
| 33% | 3/9 | ||
| 33% | 3/9 |
Situational splits
Over 12.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%5/5Medium
Away0%0/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%4/8Low
Last matchup — vs BGSU
Nov 25, 2025
89thof 233 in FS allowed to wide receivers
BGSU allows 11.4 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 32 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 9 games, Jacquon Gibson has gone over 12.5 FS 5 of 9 decided times (56%) — versus 56% across the full season. BGSU has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 89th-most FS of 233 teams (11.4 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 6.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 56%.
More Jacquon Gibson research
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.