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Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsJamal Haynes
#1 · RB · 12 games
Stats updated: Dec 27, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 43.6 RUSH YDSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 28.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 51% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)57neutral
Projection vs line51neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
29.9 RUSH YDS(×0.90 context)
L5 22.8 · L10 36.6 · med 26.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 21.4 · ceil 68.2
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2012 games
50%over
6 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%Season12 games
50%over
6 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 8/12 | ||
| 58% | 7/12 | ||
| 50% | 6/12 | ||
| 28.5Current | 50% | 6/12 | |
| 42% | 5/12 | ||
| 42% | 5/12 | ||
| 42% | 5/12 |
Situational splits
Over 28.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home57%4/7Low
Away40%2/5Low
Days since last game
3+ days45%5/11Low
Last matchup — @ BYU
Dec 27, 2025
133rdof 236 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
BYU allows 47.0 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 30 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Jamal Haynes has gone over 28.5 RUSH YDS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 50% across the full season. BYU has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 133rd-most RUSH YDS of 236 teams (47.0 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 30.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.