West Georgia Wolves

Josh Schuchts Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Sep 12, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Josh Schuchts has gone over 5.5 FS in 3 of his last 8 decided games (38%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: West Georgia
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

DK Pick6Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 7.4 FS · our line

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Verdict

vs 5.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 15/100· model 44% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)89supports it

Projection vs line44neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

7.6 FS(×0.97 context)

L5 7.3 · L10 7.4 · med 5.1

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 4.7 · ceil 9.7

Matchup

small sample

Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 108 games

38%over

3 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 14%–69%

Last 208 games

38%over

3 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 14%–69%

Season8 games

38%over

3 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 14%–69%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	8/8
	88%	7/8
	88%	7/8
5.5Current	38%	3/8
	25%	2/8
	25%	2/8
	25%	2/8

Last 8 games — FS per game vs. line 5.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 5.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home25%1/4Low

Away50%2/4Low

Days since last game

3+ days29%2/7Low

Last matchup — @ KENN

Sep 3, 2026

144thof 216 in FS allowed to tight ends

KENN allows 3.8 FS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Tough

The read

Over his last 8 games, Josh Schuchts has gone over 5.5 FS 3 of 8 decided times (38%) — versus 38% across the full season. KENN has been a tough matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 144th-most FS of 216 teams (3.8 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 5.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 38%.