
Stats updated: Sep 13, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
Maurice Stephens receiving tds hit rates and matchup research from public game logs.
No decided games at this line yet — no read.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Maurice Stephens has no recent decided games against a 0.5 REC TD line. His game-to-game REC TD have been variable (σ ≈ —), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence.
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) hit rates and trends.
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.