
Stats updated: Oct 25, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
Myles Walker has gone over 4.5 FS in 3 of his last 7 decided games (43%), measured against our typical-game line.
Ranked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 7/7 | ||
| 86% | 6/7 | ||
| 71% | 5/7 | ||
| 4.5Current | 43% | 3/7 | |
| 29% | 2/7 | ||
| 29% | 2/7 | ||
| 29% | 2/7 |
Over 4.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
BUFF allows 9.2 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 37 player-games
ToughOver his last 7 games, Myles Walker has gone over 4.5 FS 3 of 7 decided times (43%) — versus 43% across the full season. BUFF has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 185th-most FS of 233 teams (9.2 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 3.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 43%.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.