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Maryland TerrapinsNa'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding
#1 · WR · 6' 0" · 193 lb · 13 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 10 of these 13 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 19, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- College
- Maryland
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 65.5 REC YDS · our lineSave this DK Pick6 prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 57.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 6/100· model 43% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)60supports it
Projection vs line43neutral
Consistency27argues against it
Projection
70.2 REC YDS(×1.00 context)
L5 66.8 · L10 71.2 · med 58.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 39.8 · ceil 89.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2013 games
46%over
6 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%Season13 games
46%over
6 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54% | 7/13 | ||
| 54% | 7/13 | ||
| 54% | 7/13 | ||
| 57.5Current | 46% | 6/13 | |
| 46% | 6/13 | ||
| 46% | 6/13 | ||
| 38% | 5/13 |
Situational splits
Over 57.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%2/6Low
Away57%4/7Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%6/12Low
Next matchup — vs UCLA
Sep 26, 2026
7thof 228 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
UCLA allows 84.7 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 6 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding has gone over 57.5 REC YDS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 46% across the full season. UCLA has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 7th-most REC YDS of 228 teams (84.7 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 28.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
2 books @ 73.5 REC YDS- No-vig fair (over)
- 49.9%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 50.1%
Best Over
FanDuel-112
-5.5% EV
Best Under
FanDuel-112
-5.3% EV
Model vs market (over)+7.5%
Our model puts the over at 57.5% vs the market's no-vig 49.9%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Each book’s line and your season under rate at that number, vs the market consensus (73.5 REC YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
under rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 46%.