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Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersNahzae Cox Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Nov 22, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
Nahzae Cox has gone over 12.5 FS in 4 of his last 9 decided games (44%), measured against our typical-game line.
- College
- Middle Tennessee
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 12.5 FSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 12.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 15/100· model 67% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)70supports it
Projection vs line67supports it
Consistency19argues against it
Projection
9.4 FS(×0.90 context)
L5 8.4 · L10 12.5 · med 11.7
Consistency
Variable
floor 6.5 · ceil 17.9
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 109 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Last 209 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Season9 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 6/9 | ||
| 63% | 5/8 | ||
| 56% | 5/9 | ||
| 12.5Current | 44% | 4/9 | |
| 33% | 3/9 | ||
| 33% | 3/9 | ||
| 25% | 2/8 |
Situational splits
Over 12.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home40%2/5Low
Away50%2/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days38%3/8Low
Last matchup — vs FIU
Nov 8, 2025
168thof 233 in FS allowed to wide receivers
FIU allows 9.6 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 53 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 9 games, Nahzae Cox has gone over 12.5 FS 4 of 9 decided times (44%) — versus 44% across the full season. FIU has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 168th-most FS of 233 teams (9.6 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 6.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 44%.
More Nahzae Cox research
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.