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Arkansas RazorbacksRaylen Sharpe Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Nov 29, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
Raylen Sharpe has gone over 12.5 FS in 3 of his last 6 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 11.6 FSSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Verdict
vs 12.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 6/100· model 43% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral
Projection vs line43neutral
Consistency45neutral
Projection
11.3 FS(×1.04 context)
L5 12.2 · L10 11.6 · med 12.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 7.9 · ceil 14.3
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
50%over
2 over · 2 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 15%–85%Last 107 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Last 207 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Season7 games
50%over
3 over · 3 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 5/7 | ||
| 67% | 4/6 | ||
| 57% | 4/7 | ||
| 12.5Current | 50% | 3/6 | |
| 29% | 2/7 | ||
| 29% | 2/7 | ||
| 14% | 1/7 |
Situational splits
Over 12.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%2/4Low
Away50%1/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days40%2/5Low
Last matchup — vs MIZ
Nov 29, 2025
192ndof 233 in FS allowed to wide receivers
MIZ allows 8.9 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 39 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 7 games, Raylen Sharpe has gone over 12.5 FS 3 of 6 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. MIZ has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 192nd-most FS of 233 teams (8.9 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 3.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.
More Raylen Sharpe research
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.