East Carolina Pirates

Ryan Leavy Rushing Yards

Stats updated: Aug 28, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Ryan Leavy has gone over 0.5 RUSH YDS in 0 of his last 1 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: East Carolina
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

Rushing Yards · season avg 0.0 RUSH YDS

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Verdict

vs 0.5 RUSH YDSRushing Yards

Cold underFireFactor 63/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Projection

0.0 RUSH YDS

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs under on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 51 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 101 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 201 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Season1 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)

RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate RUSH YDS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1

Last 1 games — RUSH YDS per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Away0%0/1Low

Last matchup — @ NCSU

Aug 28, 2025

92ndof 234 in RUSH YDS allowed to quarterbacks

NCSU allows 24.6 RUSH YDS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 14 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 1 games, Ryan Leavy has gone over 0.5 RUSH YDS 0 of 1 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. NCSU has been a middling matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 92nd-most RUSH YDS of 234 teams (24.6 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.