Ohio Bobcats

Sieh Bangura Carries

Stats updated: Dec 24, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Sieh Bangura has gone over 18.5 CAR in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: Ohio
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

Carries · season avg 18.5 CAR

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OutSieh Bangura isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Bangura will head into a bowl game with 197 carries for 940 yards and 12 touchdowns over 11 games this season. That bowl game should give him a very good shot to clear 1,000 yards on the ground for the season.

Verdict

vs 18.5 CARCarries

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 32% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)59neutral

Projection vs line32argues against it

Consistency68supports it

Projection

21.5 CAR(×1.10 context)

L5 20.2 · L10 19.3 · med 18.5

Consistency

Steady

floor 16.0 · ceil 21.2

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Last 2013 games

46%over

6 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%

Season13 games

46%over

6 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%

Alternate lines — Carries (CAR)

CAR over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate CAR line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	85%	11/13
	69%	9/13
	62%	8/13
18.5Current	46%	6/13
	31%	4/13
	23%	3/13
	23%	3/13

Last 13 games — CAR per game vs. line 18.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 18.5 CAR by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home57%4/7Low

Away33%2/6Low

Days since last game

3+ days50%6/12Low

Last matchup — vs UNLV

Dec 24, 2025

152ndof 236 in CAR allowed to running backs

UNLV allows 8.9 CAR per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 31 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Sieh Bangura has gone over 18.5 CAR 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 46% across the full season. UNLV has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 152nd-most CAR of 236 teams (8.9 per game). His game-to-game CAR have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 3.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 46%.