Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Vernon Allen III Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Sep 13, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Vernon Allen III has gone over 2.5 FS in 1 of his last 1 decided games (100%), measured against our typical-game line.

College: Rutgers
Experience: 2 seasons

Line

Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 2.8 FS

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Verdict

vs 2.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Hot overFireFactor 69/100· model 100% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Consistency100supports it

Projection

2.8 FS

L5 2.8 · L10 2.8 · med 2.8

Consistency

Steady

floor 2.8 · ceil 2.8

Matchup

small sample

Recent history runs over on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 51 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 101 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 201 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Season1 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	1/1
	100%	1/1
2.5Current	100%	1/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1

Last 1 games — FS per game vs. line 2.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 2.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%1/1Low

Last matchup — vs NORF

Sep 13, 2025

143rdof 233 in FS allowed to wide receivers

NORF allows 10.1 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 5 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Neutral

The read

Over his last 1 games, Vernon Allen III has gone over 2.5 FS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. NORF has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 143rd-most FS of 233 teams (10.1 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.