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Chicago White SoxLenyn Sosa
#50 · 2B · 5-11 · 210 lb · 32 games
Stats updated: May 26, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Country
- Venezuela
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Hits · season avg 0.6 H · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
Injured ListInjured ListLenyn Sosa isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Right Wrist Bruise
- Est. return:
- Aug 10, 2026
Sosa had to be pulled off a rehab assignment in late June following a setback with his bruised right wrist, but he's been ramping things back up and could be ready to try rehab games again soon. The infielder has managed just a .195/.207/.283 batting line in 40 games this season between the White Sox and Blue Jays.
Verdict
vs 0.5 HHitsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 62% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)58neutral
Projection vs line62supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
0.4 H(×0.85 context)
L5 0.4 · L10 0.3 · med 0.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 0.0 · ceil 1.0
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2020 games
40%over
8 over · 12 under
Medium confidence95% CI 22%–61%Season32 games
50%over
16 over · 16 under
Medium confidence95% CI 34%–66%Alternate lines — Hits (H)
H over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 50% | 16/32 | |
| 9% | 3/32 | ||
| 3% | 1/32 | ||
| 0% | 0/32 |
Situational splits
Over 0.5 H by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home42%5/12Low
Away55%11/20Medium
Days since last game
0 days (B2B)46%6/13Low
1 day50%5/10Low
2 days40%2/5Low
3+ days100%3/3Low
With a teammate out
How this H line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Austin Hays out · Left Calf Strain-0.3 H when he sits
Without (26g)
0.6 H
50% over 0.5
With (6g)
0.8 H
50% over 0.5
Next matchup — vs CLE
Aug 8, 2026
19thof 30 in H allowed to hitters
CLE pitching allows 8.0 H per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 117 games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Lenyn Sosa has gone over 0.5 H 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 50% across the full season. CLE has been a middling matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 19th-most H of 30 teams (8.0 per game). His game-to-game H have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Home park
Rate Field · Chicago White Sox
neutral (runs ×1.01, HR ×1.06)
Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.