Chicago White Sox

Lenyn Sosa Strikeouts (batter)

Stats updated: May 26, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Lenyn Sosa has gone over 0.5 SO in 4 of his last 10 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.

Country: Venezuela
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksStrikeouts (batter) · season avg 0.8 SO · our line

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Injured ListLenyn Sosa isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Wrist Bruise
Est. return:: Aug 10, 2026

Sosa had to be pulled off a rehab assignment in late June following a setback with his bruised right wrist, but he's been ramping things back up and could be ready to try rehab games again soon. The infielder has managed just a .195/.207/.283 batting line in 40 games this season between the White Sox and Blue Jays.

Verdict

vs 0.5 SOStrikeouts (batter)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 47% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)60neutral

Projection vs line47neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup50neutral

Projection

0.6 SO(×0.89 context)

L5 0.8 · L10 0.6 · med 0.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.0 · ceil 1.8

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

40%over

4 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%

Last 2020 games

60%over

12 over · 8 under

Medium confidence95% CI 39%–78%

Season32 games

53%over

17 over · 15 under

Medium confidence95% CI 36%–69%

Alternate lines — Strikeouts (batter) (SO)

SO over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate SO line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	53%	17/32
	22%	7/32
	0%	0/32
	0%	0/32

Last 20 games — SO per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 SO by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home58%7/12Low

Away50%10/20Medium

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)46%6/13Low

1 day80%8/10Low

2 days40%2/5Low

3+ days0%0/3Low

With a teammate out

How this SO line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Austin Hays out · Left Calf Strain+0.1 SO when he sits

Without (26g)

0.8 SO

54% over 0.5

With (6g)

0.7 SO

50% over 0.5

Next matchup — @ BOS

Aug 5, 2026

15thof 30 in SO allowed to hitters

BOS pitching allows 8.5 SO per game to hitters (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 111 games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Lenyn Sosa has gone over 0.5 SO 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 53% across the full season. BOS has been a middling matchup for hitters this season, allowing the 15th-most SO of 30 teams (8.5 per game). His game-to-game SO have been highly variable (σ ≈ 0.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Home park

Rate Field · Chicago White Sox

neutral (runs ×1.01, HR ×1.06)

Park context for this player's home games. Not folded into the hit rates above — those already reflect the parks they've played in.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 53%.